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    Volatility

    December 2023

    Bulls are feeling good about the rally this year, while bears think the hard landing is still possible.

    Why it might be time to strap in for a wild end to 2023 on markets

    Shares have rallied hard in the past six weeks, but more big moves in the dog days of December aren’t out of the question.

    • James Thomson

    June 2023

    The VIX last week touched its lowest since January 2020: either a sign of rising optimism or complacency.

    Fearless investors look through central bank angst

    The Vix has fallen to its lowest level since late January 2020 – could it be a sign of irrational exuberance?

    • Timothy Moore
    Vladimir Putin’s narrow escape might also be a narrow escape for markets.

    Mad 24 hours in Russia a stark reminder for markets

    Investors got lucky the attempted coup in Russia is over before it began, but it’s yet another reminder of how markets are ignoring risk. 

    • Updated
    • James Thomson

    May 2023

    Volatility strategies aim to capitalise on the price fluctuations and inherent uncertainty in financial markets.

    How volatility can make you money

    Rocky markets can throw up unique opportunities for nimble investors.

    • James Wright

    April 2023

    Fans of risky assets ‘living in a parallel universe’

    A world where interest rates remain high – and will potentially increase again – is bad for share prices.

    • Christopher Joye
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    March 2023

    While some on the Street see the derivatives as reducing market volatility, others led by JPMorgan see them as a source of extreme turbulence.

    JPMorgan spells out ‘Volmageddon’ risk on zero-day option craze

    In a new study, a 5 per cent drop in the S&P 500 is seen snowballing another 20 per cent in the worst-case scenario.

    • Lu Wang

    February 2023

    Exxon is flush with the capital to back big trading positions after posting a record $US59 billion in profit last year.

    Exxon’s trading ambitions mean culture shift to more risk-taking

    Exxon is also flush with the capital to back big trading positions after posting a record $US59 billion in profit last year.

    • Devika Krishna Kumar and Kevin Crowley

    October 2022

    Markets are a cocktail of volatility and potential illiquidity.

    Why the UK bond crisis could be just the start

    The IMF is warning about potential liquidity risks in the world’s $64 trillion of managed funds. Like James Bond’s vodka martini, we have been shaken, we should be stirred.

    • Updated
    • Hans van Leeuwen

    May 2022

    Keeping ahead of inflation is a key factor for long-term portfolios to maintain their real value.

    Market uncertainty a good prompt to review your investment strategy

    Selling can lock in losses, particularly if the money is not reinvested until the market has recovered and confidence returns.

    • Michael Hutton

    April 2022

    Global investors will need to be more dynamic to capture both the long-term trend changes and the short-run mispricing between relative sectors.

    Investment discipline does not mean inaction

    The volatility that unnerves some can present significant opportunities for those who can be nimble and focused.

    • James Wright

    February 2022

    Zerocap’s Head of Trading Toby Chapple and Chief investment Officer Jonathan de Wet, who say crypto volatility can be harnessed.

    Old money targets new as fund offers profits from bitcoin volatility

    The Smorgon family are among the backers of Zerocap’s smart beta fund, which has raised $20m of $100m needed to offer investors traditional products in crypto markets.

    • Jessica Sier

    January 2022

    Weakness in high multiple growth stocks and sectors reflects valuation concerns off the back of rising interest rates.

    Why Tribeca’s Jun Bei Liu is still bullish on equities

    A solid earnings outlook together with reasonable valuations and an attractive dividend yield should see the market easily post double-digit gains.

    • Jun Bei Liu

    November 2021

    According to Options Clearing data compiled by Susquehanna, small-lot call premiums have surged in recent weeks, approaching the peak reached in January. 

    Options craze rewriting rules of VIX, S&P 500 relationship

    Investors are flocking to call options to chase gains in stocks like Tesla and Nvidia, resulting in a spike in upward volatility.

    • Lu Wang

    August 2021

    Softer than expected manufacturing data from China and the US triggered a fall in the US 10-year bond yield and oil prices.

    Markets signal economic expansion has passed peak growth

    Weaker than expected manufacturing data from the world’s two largest economies has caused anxiety, leading investors to the safety of fixed income.

    • Updated
    • Alex Gluyas

    April 2021

    Equity volatility is fading.

    Wall Street’s fear measure near 14-month low

    The VIX closed at its lowest since mid-February 2020, which either is a sign of investors’ bullishness or complacency.

    • Timothy Moore
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    February 2021

    Kerr Neilson at his home in Sydney’s McMahons Point.

    Why Kerr Neilson is watching cryptocurrencies

    In all things Reddit versus Wall Street and cryptocurrencies, the billionaire investor and Platinum founder is keeping an open mind.

    • Vesna Poljak

    January 2021

    The closest parallel is the epic squeeze in Volkswagen’s stock in October 2008, writes Grant Wilson.

    The game is far from over

    GameStop is a harbinger of an unpredictable year ahead. Those viewing the world through traditional lenses should pay heed.

    • Grant Wilson

    October 2020

    Josh Berelowitz, portfolio manager, JPMorgan Global Macro Opportunities Fund and Nicola Rawlinson, investment strategist.

    Pandemic-busting JPMorgan duo like to keep their options open

    This macro fund got through the market's COVID-19 ructions unscathed. Now, they’re buying tech stocks, whose future earnings are much more valuable in a lower interest rate world.

    • Hans van Leeuwen

    September 2020

    Are Wall Street's latest losses just a correction - or the start of something bigger?

    Research tests computer-driven crash theory

    Automated high frequency trading fell during and after the COVID-19 crash, according to new research, suggesting it was not the reason the crash was the steepest on record.

    • Luke Housego

    August 2020

    Some assets may see reduced competition with fewer bidders, opening up opportunities for our domestic investors in real assets.

    Darwinism in the world of the modern investor

    The long-term impacts of COVID-19 on the definition and classification of asset classes is going to be fascinating to witness.

    • Katrina King

    The Australian Financial Review Magazine

    BOSS Financial Review

    Kmart and Target managing director Ian Bailey: “The journey we’ve been on for many years is really moving from being a retailer to being a product company.”

    Life & Leisure

    Rich List

    Dexus is attempting to block Kevin Seymour’s eight-tower precinct (pictured), alleging it would take business away its own shopping centre down the road.