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Monetary policy

Today

Reserve Bank governor Michele Bullock on Tuesday.

Traders trim rate rise bets on patient RBA

The markets are now pricing in just a 15 chance the cash rate will rise again this year after the Reserve Bank stood pat on Tuesday.

  • Updated
  • Cecile Lefort
RBA governor Michele Bullock.

Why data-driven Bullock has her eye on the budget

RBA governor Michele Bullock says it’s too early to declare victory over inflation as she avoids the markets’ frenzied guessing game on interest rates.

  • Jennifer Hewett

‘Vigilant’ RBA puts home loan borrowers on notice

Governor Michele Bullock has issued a fresh warning to mortgage holders, two years after the Reserve Bank of Australia began raising interest rates.

  • Updated
  • John Kehoe

Yesterday

The Reserve Bank is at odds with the rest of the world.

RBA’s radio silence fuels extreme rate rise bets

Traders’ bet that the RBA will lift the cash rate is fuelled by the central bank’s lack of communications since March as it undergoes sweeping reporting changes.

  • Cecile Lefort
Falling house prices quickly dampen the appetite to spend.

Interest rates are the only tool for managing inflation

Economists are looking for other ways of braking inflation. But the impact of interest rates on housing costs is still the most reliable means.

  • Luke Hartigan and Stella Huangfu
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UBS’ Richard Schellbach says the main threat to the ASX 200 is a surge in bond yields.

ASX tipped to hit 8300 by year-end defying rate talk

Brokers and investors have all turned more positive on the outlook for the sharemarket, despite traders pushing out interest rate cut expectations to early next year.

  • Joanne Tran

This Month

RBA governor Michele Bullock.

Everyone calm down, inflation is not taking off again

The Reserve Bank should be alert to stubborn price pressures, but not alarmed.

  • Updated
  • Tim Hext
RBA governor Michele Bullock will be alert to sticky inflation, but there isn’t a strong reason to raise rates again.

RBA rate rise shock is being underestimated, history shows

It has raised interest rates almost every time in the last 25 years that it has faced the current high quarterly inflation figure immediately before a board meeting.

  • John Kehoe
Treasurer Jim Chalmers and RBA governor Michele Bullock.

Economists call for tighter immigration to help RBA’s inflation war

Economists from some of the largest banks are urging the government to restrict migrant visas to help ease the housing crisis that is pushing rents and prices of goods higher.

  • Updated
  • Cecile Lefort
One in 11 jobs in New York city is estimated to be either directly or indirectly associated with the securities industry.

US job growth slows in April; unemployment rate rises to 3.9pc

The closely watched US non-farm payroll report showed employers scaled back hiring.

  • Lucia Mutikani
RBA governor Michele Bullock’s fight against inflation remains a complicated one.

High inflation may last another two years unless rates rise again

If Jim Chalmers does not use the budget to cool the economy, the RBA will have little chance of achieving its target without raising interest rates, say economists.

  • Michael Read
Jerome Powell said he didn’t think it was likely the Fed would need to consider interest rate increases.

Powell signals rates will stay higher for longer

The US Federal Reserve has kept rates unchanged but chairman Jerome Powell said inflation was still too high despite “sufficiently restrictive” policy.

  • Updated
  • Matthew Cranston
Federal Reserve chairman Jerome Powell needs more eivdence before embarking on rate cuts.

Markets cheer after Fed chief rules out rate increases

Traders have ramped up US rate cut bets this year after the Federal Reserve kept interest rates on hold, but the prospect of higher rates in Australia this year is still on the cards.

  • Cecile Lefort
Joe Biden has said that he is hoping Jerome Powell will announce a rate cut this year.

Powell bristles at election influence on rate cuts

The Federal Reserve chairman has taken umbrage at suggestions monetary policy decisions will be influenced by the US presidential election.

  • Matthew Cranston

Are we returning to the late ’90s high interest rate era?

I’m starting to wonder whether high interest rates might last a lot longer than many people, including me, have been predicting.

  • Paul Krugman
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Federal Reserve chairman Jerome Powell is expected to signal rates to stay high or even higher for longer.

Fed, RBA to talk tough on inflation and rates

The central banks are expected to take harsher tone on tackling inflation at their upcoming policy meetings, further tempering rate cut hopes that have underpinned equities this year.

  • Cecile Lefort
Reserve Bank governor Michele Bullock is walking a fine line balancing interest rates and inflation.

Bullock must now warn that interest rates may rise again

When the RBA board meets next week, the key question governor Michele Bullock will be grappling with is the future pace of disinflation.

  • John Kehoe
Germany’s economy is recovering, but its industrial base is yet to start firing on all cylinders.

European economy rebounds, but June rate cut still on the cards

The bounceback has not triggered inflation, creating space for the European Central Bank to start easing the squeeze before the US Federal Reserve.

  • Hans van Leeuwen

April

Nominal retail sales unexpectedly fell in March.

CBA tips one rate cut this year as retail sales ease fears of a rise

Last week’s hot inflation data reignited the prospect of further rate increases, but Tuesday’s weak retail sales numbers have traders walking back those expectations.

  • Cecile Lefort and Joshua Peach
Bank of Japan chief Kazuo Ueda has played down the impact of the weak yen.

Yen drops to a 34-year low; will authorities step in?

The steep sell-off in the Japanese currency to the lowest level since 1990.

  • Updated
  • Cormac Mullen