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RBA should maintain its ‘wait and see’ approach to rates

Readers’ letters on what is playing into the Reserve Bank’s thinking on interest rates; what must change to make negative gearing fair; Woodside’s climate conundrum; and Peter Dutton’s nuclear problem.

  • 1 hr ago
Richard Pappas, managing director of Celsius Property Group.

The apartment supply conundrum behind Perth’s housing price surge

There’s plenty of demand and many projects approved, but sky-high construction costs have left developers asking for more government money.

  • Updated
  • Tom Rabe
After X publicly confirmed it wouldn’t be complying, the commissioner approached the court. And so here we are.

If Musk wins high stakes global battle, X could still lose the war

A court victory in the legal stoush over Australia’s eSafety commissioner’s take-down order might invite government intervention that bolsters regulation of the social media giants.

  • Patrick Considine
James Aitken says the wealth effect is in full throttle in Australia.

How Boomers are busting hopes for rate cuts

Macro commentator James Aitken says interest rates may have to head higher after we underestimated the increasingly powerful wealth effect.

  • Jonathan Shapiro

This Month

Jim Chalmers may find his budget script is dating quickly.

Chalmers’ narrow budget path is now in peril

The sudden change in the interest rate outlook this week could be political dynamite for the Albanese government and the budget.

  • The AFR View
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Federal and state governments will again stimulate the economy next year, with economists urging Treasurer Jim Chalmers to cut outlays to pre-pandemic levels.

Government spending surge to fuel sticky inflation

Monthly spending figures show the federal budget bottom-line in the nine months to March was running $4.1 billion ahead of projections from December,

  • Michael Read
The Chanticleer podcast features James Thomson and Anthony Macdonald.

Imploding Star Entertainment, Woodside’s energy battle & inflation runs hot, again

This week on the Chanticleer podcast, James & Anthony look at casino operator Star Entertainment’s second brush with disaster, go inside the battle over energy giant Woodside’s climate plan, and ask where rates go next after hot inflation numbers.

Jim Chalmers will hand down the federal budget on Tuesday, May 14.

Chalmers confronts a diabolical budget conundrum

Just a few months ago, the Australian economy was shaping up perfectly for the Labor government and its treasurer. Then came this week’s inflation data.

  • Updated
  • Ronald Mizen

RBA to lift cash rate to 5.1pc, says top forecaster

Judo Bank’s Warren Hogan, who was ranked 2023’s most accurate forecaster, predicts a resurgent economy will force the RBA to lift rates to 5.1 per cent.

  • Michael Read
Jerome Powell. Price rises and cost increases across the board have left markets concerned that the Federal Reserve and other central banks will rethink plans to cut interest rates this year.

Why inflation is proving sticky on both sides of the Atlantic

What matters is not what is happening right now, but what will happen in the months or even years ahead, as past policy works through the system.

  • Updated
  • Martin Wolf
Michael Smith The Fin

Why China’s slowing economy is Australia’s problem

This week on The Fin podcast, North Asia correspondent Michael Smith talks about the changes in China over the past six years and what its slowing economy means for Australian prosperity.

iStock

Haircuts, dentist visits and movie tickets inflict inflation pain

Everyday activities are among the 31 common household purchases where year-ended inflation rose between December 2023 and March 2024.

  • Michael Read
The RBA board’s decision last month to abandon its stated tightening bias is looking premature, as fears over sticky inflation materialise into reality.

Ugly CPI data shows why rate cuts are a distant prospect

CPI report suggests fears about sticky inflation are becoming a reality, leaving the RBA board’s decision last month to abandon its stated tightening bias looking premature.

  • Michael Read
RBA governor Michele Bullock isn’t close to slaying the inflation dragon.

Hot inflation will require an ASX rethink

ASX investors, who’ve bid up retail, banking and tech stocks, need to accept that rate cuts aren’t coming before Santa arrives. 

  • James Thomson
Jim Chalmers faces an even tougher May 14 budget after new inflation figures showed prices continuing to climb.

Budget reality check for Chalmers after high home-grown inflation

“Unrelenting” domestic price pressures boosted consumer inflation in the first three months of 2024, while Treasurer Jim Chalmers would not be drawn on whether the May budget would add to demand.

  • Ronald Mizen and Liam Walsh
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Richard Goyder is about to ride off into the sunset.

Richard Goyder’s legacy is tarnished by his two biggest mistakes

Readers’ letters on how the Qantas chairman failed passengers; holes in the argument of a made in Australia champion; US aid’s boost to Ukraine; the real value of Anzac Day; and a Bondi victim’s service to humanity.

While the Made in Australia policy could create jobs, in a fully employed economy it may also draw workers and capital from other areas.

Will Future Made in Australia push the RBA off the narrow path?

If the budget does deliver policy changes that add to demand, inflation will probably keep falling slowly and stay too high for the central bank’s inflation target.

  • Paul Bloxham
NSW Treasurer Daniel Mookhey has lost control of the finances of NSW.

An unwise treasurer is losing NSW’s prized AAA rating

Treasurer Daniel Mookhey cannot blame GST payments. It’s his own rash spending and pay deals that are at fault.

  • Updated
  • Matt Kean
Treasurer Jim Chalmers.

Economists dispute Chalmers’ downbeat growth tone

Leading economists have dismissed Treasurer Jim Chalmers’ pessimistic assessment of the global economy, and say it should not be used to justify inflation-boosting spending.

  • Ronald Mizen
Treasurer Dr Jim Chalmers.

Chalmers confronts Australia’s budget dilemma

Despite the global tensions and the national gamble on the “Future Made in Australia”, the treasurer is about to hand down another surplus next month.

  • Jennifer Hewett