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The RBA on Tuesday is widely expected to keep the cash rate at a 12-year high of 4.35 per cent.

ASX rallies 1.4pc after RBA leaves cash rate on hold; Sims slumps

Shares advance over 1 per cent, $A falls; Reserve Bank revises inflation forecast; ANZ records 7 per cent cash profit decline in first half results. Follow updates here.

Latest Posts

Last updated 15 mins ago

Interest rates on hold but to stay higher for longer

The RBA says inflation will stay high for some time yet and it will keep a “vigilant” watch, while “not ruling anything in or out” on interest rates.

Victorian Treasurer Tim Pallas and Premier Jacinta Allan have handed down their first state budget together.

Victorian debt to hit $188b as Labor shirks budget cuts

Victorian Premier Jacinta Allan is counting on a growing economy and an interest rate cut this year to curb the state’s $188 billion debt and a daily interest bill set to hit $26 million with a no-frills budget.

Victorian budget winners and losers

There are no new taxes or levies for the first time in several years – although the state’s waste and fire levies are increasing – but the budget avoids many tough decisions save for a slowdown in infrastructure spending.

G8 Education board faces scepticism over Star links

The biggest for-profit operator of childcare also revealed some problems had struck a controversial deal to offload underperforming centres.

The chart that gives Goldman confidence M&A is on the up

Be wary of bankers talking deal pipelines. But what you can rely on them for is a good chart. Goldman Sachs’ M&A boss Marissa Freund didn’t disappoint.

Bonza’s backers plotted to ‘get the planes out’ and ‘wind this up’

Leaked documents show the writing was on the wall for the budget carrier weeks before it collapsed, and suggest co-ordination between its financiers and owners.

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RBA DECISION

The RBA’s latest outlook for the economy means interest rates will need to stay higher for longer.

Petrol, strong jobs market stoking inflation: RBA

The central bank on Tuesday upgraded its near-term forecasts for headline inflation and pushed back the likelihood of interest rate relief until mid-2025.

Interest rates on hold but to stay higher for longer

The RBA says inflation will stay high for some time yet and it will keep a “vigilant” watch, while “not ruling anything in or out” on interest rates.

The Reserve Bank’s bleak news on housing

The Reserve Bank is concerned that housing supply continues to fall short of underlying demand, which is keeping upward pressure on house prices and rents, writes Karen Maley.

‘Vigilant’ RBA puts home loan borrowers on notice

Governor Michele Bullock has issued a fresh warning to mortgage holders, two years after the Reserve Bank of Australia began raising interest rates, writes John Kehoe.

‘Made in Australia’ risks higher interest rates and a poorer future

The old rules of economics still apply and the consequences of Albanese’s big gamble could be widely felt.

VICTORIAN BUDGET

Victorian Treasurer Tim Pallas and Premier Jacinta Allan have handed down their first state budget together.

Victorian debt to hit $188b as Labor shirks budget cuts

Victorian Premier Jacinta Allan is counting on a growing economy and an interest rate cut this year to curb the state’s $188 billion debt and a daily interest bill set to hit $26 million with a no-frills budget.

AFR

Victoria adds $700m to home buyer scheme – and calls time on it

There were minimal housing policies in the Victorian budget, but the state government is hopeful of a pick-up in sales next year to boost its finances.

The core size of the public service is to be reduced as a share of the state economy.

Size of Victorian government to be cut for first time in 15 years

Tight control over salaries and operating expenses will result in reduced average expenditure of 2.2 per cent over forward estimates.

Victorian budget winners and losers

There are no new taxes or levies for the first time in several years – although the state’s waste and fire levies are increasing – but the budget avoids many tough decisions save for a slowdown in infrastructure spending.

Everything we know about the budget, so far

Treasurer Jim Chalmers will hand down Labor’s third budget on May 14. Here are all the spending measures we know about so far.

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Companies

Macquarie CEO Shemara Wikramanayake opened the bank’s annual conference with a presentation on how AI development would require more data consumption.

Macquarie bets big on data centres in AI revolution

Shemara Wikramanayake expects the biggest tech companies to consume more data in their quest to sharpen AI platforms.

ANZ says it can reward shareholders and grow lending

The bank said profits were down in its retail business with conditions “more competitive than ever”, but lending to large companies was stronger.

AGL CEO Damien Nicks at the site of the Torrens battery, which is now fully operational. Photo:
 Roy VanDerVegt

AGL Energy upgrades earnings guidance again

The energy giant backed by software billionaire Mike Cannon-Brookes bumped the lower bound of its full-year guidance up by $80 million.

Louis Dreyfus has lifted its taekover offer for Namoi Cotton to 67¢ a share.

Louis Dreyfus fires back at Olam in takeover battle for Namoi Cotton

The French agribusiness has struck another blow in the battle with its Singaporean competitor for control of Namoi Cotton.

‘True energy impact’: Di Pilla defies gloom, appoints Gillard to $2b fund

The ASX-listed HMC Capital is banking on plenty of investor interest to defy a gloomy market outlook on the transition to clean energy for its latest vehicle.

ASX queries Kogan executive options sale ahead of share plunge

The online retailer, in response to questions from the market operator, said it did not think a poor sales update that sent its stock tumbling was material.

NBN fixer Stephen Rue to restore Optus’ credibility

Stephen Rue has been charged with restoring Optus’ reputation with consumers and improving its services when he leaves the NBN to run the beleaguered telco group.

Companies in the News

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Markets

Australians under 35 are the biggest speculators in cryptocurrencies, although some are unaware of the need to pay capital gains tax on sales.

ATO targets crypto traders’ tax affairs, bank details

The Tax Office is ramping up its surveillance of crypto traders, demanding that exchanges hand over details around clients’ ID, wallet addresses and bank accounts.

Wall Street.

What happened overnight? Wall Street extended its rally into a third session

Australian shares were set to gain, bolstered by the S&P 500’s advance as investors reset their bets on US rate cuts.

The Reserve Bank is at odds with the rest of the world.

RBA’s radio silence fuels extreme rate rise bets

Traders’ bet that the RBA will lift the cash rate is fuelled by the central bank’s lack of communications since March as it undergoes sweeping reporting changes.

ASX tipped to hit 8300 by year-end defying rate talk

Brokers and investors have all turned more positive on the outlook for the sharemarket, despite traders pushing out interest rate cut expectations to next year.

Investors return to Chinese stocks on housing policy hope

Battered Chinese assets are getting a second look as a combination of earnings recovery, policy support and cheap valuations lure investors.

Opinion

The Reserve Bank’s bleak news on housing

The central bank sees little respite for struggling home buyers and renters for years to come, as demand in the nation’s housing market continues to outstrip supply

Karen Maley

Columnist

Karen Maley

Quantum leap to secure first-mover advantage for Australia

The government’s chief scientific adviser says the investment in PsiQuantum may be high risk, but it’s also high reward.

Cathy Foley

Chief Scientist

Cathy Foley

Why didn’t ACCC litigate Qantas?

Is what might be seen as regulatory brand ransom to force companies to admit to lesser charges and avoid the need to litigate, the way the watchdog should seek to uphold Australia’s consumer protection and competition law?

The AFR View

Editorial

The AFR View

Qantas’ Hudson takes the chance to shed some Joyce baggage

Vanessa Hudson has finally accepted reality by making a deal with the competition watchdog over ghost flights.

Interest rates are the only tool for managing inflation

Economists are looking for other ways of braking inflation. But the impact of interest rates on housing costs is still the most reliable means.

Keeping coal but excluding gas is an irrational path to net zero

Including gas-generation in the back-up electricity mechanism will help avoid taxpayer funds being used for paradoxical cross-purposes.

Steve Davies

Gas advocate

Steve Davies

Reports

BOSS Best Places to Work

The awards celebrate the achievements of the best small, medium and large organisations and nine sector winners.

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Politics

Albo enters the bull ring.

Albanese enters the bull ring

Anthony Albanese and Peter Dutton are in Rockhampton for Beef 2024. One suspects Labor will need to look elsewhere in Queensland to win seats at the next election.

An Australian Seahawk helicopter.

Albanese to raise ‘unacceptable’ chopper incident with Chinese premier

Stabilisation of ties between Canberra and Beijing suffered a setback after a Chinese fighter jet released flares near a navy helicopter.

Opposition Leader Peter Dutton wants a debate about nuclear at the next election.

‘A big risk’: Voters wary of nuclear replacing coal-fired power

Voters in Victoria’s Latrobe Valley have raised the spectres of Chernobyl and Fukushima when asked about Opposition Leader Peter Dutton’s plan to build large-scale reactors in their community. 

Let ASIC police big four conflicts: Samuel

Former ACCC chairman Graeme Samuel says the big four’s governance changes looked good on paper, but would not fundamentally change the culture of the firms.

Social cohesion ‘fraying’, Albanese admits amid anti-Israel backlash

Anthony Albanese defended his efforts to keep the community together but would not be drawn on a looming UN vote on Palestinian statehood.

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World

A soldier directs Israeli tanks near a border crossing to the southern Gaza strip, Israel, on Sunday, May 5, 2024. A Hamas delegation has reportedly arrived in Cairo for new talks aimed at reaching a cease-fire in Gaza, where the war between the Iran-backed militant group and Israel is nearing the seven-month mark.

Israel takes control of Rafah border crossing

The Israeli 401st Brigade entered the Rafah crossing early on Tuesday local time, the Israeli military said, taking ‘operational control’ of the vital pass.

Houses in Zhouzhuang old town. Home buyers are no longer focused on new builds.

Why the Chinese are warming to ‘second-hand’ homes

With tens of thousands of new developments yet to be completed, house hunters are looking again at older buildings. End buyers don’t trust developers any more.

EY planned to separate its audit and consulting divisions globally but has dumped the proposal.

Big four exam cheating under spotlight amid AI fears

Academic integrity is in focus for professional regulators after a series of cheating scandals and the rise of artificial intelligence.

PwC partners in the Middle East accused of blocking first woman boss

PwC is facing a backlash from its own staff after two women were passed over for the UK firm’s top job, as Middle Eastern partners grow in strength.

Judge threatens Trump with jail over ‘hush money’ gag order

The former US president suggested that he would be willing to risk incarceration after the judge’s warned him over repeatedly breaching the gag order.

Property

Vicinity, ISPT offload Halls Head mall had spent over $70 million on the asset but has only received that much back in a sale of the asset.

Vicinity, ISPT offload WA mall for $70m, taking capital loss

The Halls Head Central shopping centre was once valued at $114 million.

Amid a surge in Perth property prices, the WA government will give owners of vacant homes $5000 if they make them available for long-term renters.

Landlords offered $5000 lure for housing fix

Amid a surge in Perth property prices, the WA government will give owners of vacant homes $5000 if they make them available for long-term renters.

An international report has warned ill-gotten money from Cambodia is being laundered via Australian property.

Labor steps up fight to stop dirty money from buying homes

Proposed anti-money laundering rules will rope in real estate agents and lawyers, amid concerns Australia could become a destination for dirty cash.

Victoria has become a poor state: economist Saul Eslake

The southern state’s high dependence on property and population growth has a fallout felt beyond its borders.

Why Michael Hill chose Chadstone to sell $1m diamond earrings

Michael Hill’s global flagship store will open in Melbourne’s biggest mall Chadstone, and will include a $1m pair of yellow diamond drop earrings.

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Wealth

Services that offer simple wills are not doing the will maker any favours unless they explain what the will maker is giving up by using one.

Why there is no such thing as a simple will

You’ve got to understand what you’re giving up when you sign a simple will – and how there are better ways to protect your loved ones.

The investment shift that could undermine your wealth plan

Whether to invest for income or growth is not the right question to ask for those in or moving to retirement.

Shaw and Partners boss says ‘fed-up’ Morgan Stanley brokers walked

“Heavy-handed” Morgan Stanley’s loss is Shaw’s gain, says co-CEO Earl Evans, who now manages $5 billion in WA wealth alone.

Technology

It’s bigger and brighter, but is it Samsung’s best TV?

We pit Samsung’s “pinnacle” TV against a lesser model. The results won’t surprise you.

42-year-old Sydney tech company saved with $150m price drop

Casa Systems bought NetComm for $161 million in 2019. Five years later another US company is buying it out of administration for just $US7 million.

  • Analysis
  • AI

AI start-ups face a rough financial reality check

The AI revolution, it is becoming clear in Silicon Valley, is going to come with a very big price tag.

Work & Careers

Striking CFMEU members, who work on the Albert St Cross River Rail construction site, hold signs outside the site in Brisbane, April 30, 2024.

Watchdog investigates CFMEU conduct at major Brisbane project sites

The Fair Work Ombudsman is making “active inquiries” into claims the CFMEU jumped fences and allegedly intimidated workers at major Queensland infrastructure sites.

Gender of directors added no financial value: study

A study by the Australian National University has found that the gender of directors appointed to company boards had no impact on the financial performance of those businesses.

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Life & Luxury

Melbourne’s best restaurants for a business lunch

Where to go when you’ve got a deal to discuss, when you want to impress your top client or thank the team – as tested by our reviewers.

‘I found my mob’: The collector who quit accounting to follow a passion

A soft spot for timepieces from an early age grew into something more meaningful for this watch enthusiast.

Our Place founder Shiza Shahid shows off a pretty pan.

How fashionable is your kitchen?

Designers are harnessing fashion principles to give cookware a stylish makeover.

Michael Ramsey in his Byron Bay Strong Pilates studio.

The ex-F45 franchisees who created an international Pilates phenomenon

Since 2019, Strong Pilates co-founders Michael Ramsey and Mark Armstrong have opened 56 studios worldwide and there are many more to come.

The Johnson & Johnson COVID-19 vaccine.

Thousands believe COVID-19 vaccines harmed them. Is anyone listening?

All jabs have at least occasional side effects. But people who say they were injured by those for the coronavirus think their cases have been ignored.

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