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Interest rates on hold but to stay higher for longer

The Reserve Bank of Australia says inflation will stay high for some time yet and it will keep a “vigilant” watch, while “not ruling anything in or out” on interest rates.

  • 1 min ago
  • Ronald Mizen
Without a global ranking system for supply chain sustainability, it’s hard to know exactly how Australia stacks up.

On the road to greener supply chains

Australia’s supply chains are not the most sustainable. But there are signs of change – including the electrification of transport.

Sponsored 

by LDV

Australian business leads the way with sustainable financial solutions

With four out of five buildings projected to still be standing in 25 years, the imperative for green initiatives in real estate has never been clearer.

Sponsored 

by CBA

AGL Energy upgrades earnings guidance again

The energy giant backed by software billionaire Mike Cannon-Brookes bumped the lower bound of its full-year guidance up by $80 million.

  • Ben Potter

‘True energy impact’: Di Pilla defies gloom, appoints Gillard to $2b fund

The ASX-listed HMC Capital is banking on plenty of investor interest to defy a gloomy market outlook on the transition to clean energy for its latest vehicle.

  • Ben Potter

Philip Lowe warns rates could rise again

The former RBA governor says with data surprising on the strong side getting back to a 2.5 per cent inflation level sustainably is not yet guaranteed.

  • Patrick Durkin and John Kehoe

Opinion & Analysis

Reforms rather than rate rises

Supply side deregulation to drive productivity is the other half of the policy armoury that should be deployed to help curb inflation and keep employment full.

Keeping coal but excluding gas is an irrational path to net zero

Including gas-generation in the back-up electricity mechanism will help avoid taxpayer funds being used for paradoxical cross-purposes.

Steve Davies

Gas advocate

Steve Davies

Ken Moelis on Trump, interest rates and Ozempic

The billionaire investment banker thinks Donald Trump has his nose in front in the US presidential race, and that could have ramifications for interest rates. 

Chanticleer

Columnist

Chanticleer

Reinstate HECS discount to recover debt

Readers’ letters on the reduction in indexation rates for HECS debt; the crackdown on the big four accountancy firms and lobby groups making submissions to the government ahead of the budget.

Contributor

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More From Today

When the average Australian has to think twice about ordering her $6 daily coffee (which cost $3.34 10 years ago), that’s when we really need to stop and think.

Reforms rather than rate rises

Supply side deregulation to drive productivity is the other half of the policy armoury that should be deployed to help curb inflation and keep employment full.

  • 1 hr ago
  • The Parrhesian
Victoria and likely NSW have established their own makeshift coal capacity schemes.

Keeping coal but excluding gas is an irrational path to net zero

Including gas-generation in the back-up electricity mechanism will help avoid taxpayer funds being used for paradoxical cross-purposes.

  • 1 hr ago
  • Steve Davies
Ken Moelis says Jay Powell won’t want to be seen to be involved in politics.

Ken Moelis on Trump, interest rates and Ozempic

The billionaire investment banker thinks Donald Trump has his nose in front in the US presidential race, and that could have ramifications for interest rates. 

  • James Thomson

Yesterday

About 30 per cent of HECS debt has been written off as unlikely ever to be recovered.

Reinstate HECS discount to recover debt

Readers’ letters on the reduction in indexation rates for HECS debt; the crackdown on the big four accountancy firms and lobby groups making submissions to the government ahead of the budget.

Falling house prices quickly dampen the appetite to spend.

Interest rates are the only tool for managing inflation

Economists are looking for other ways of braking inflation. But the impact of interest rates on housing costs is still the most reliable means.

  • Luke Hartigan and Stella Huangfu
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The Chinese-owned Tianqi lithium hydroxide plant at Kwinana, south of Perth.

It’s economically naive to cut China out of direct investment

There may be more “like-minded” investors out there for Australia’s resources sector, but will they be as competitive and efficient as China has proven to be?

  • James Laurenceson
A family-owned fishing charter business in operation.

The great success story of Indigenous enterprise is missing

Indigenous businesses have proven robust and resilient against all the odds – that should be included in the Closing the Gap reports as well.

  • Michelle Evans and Cain Polidano

This Month

RBA governor Michele Bullock needs to reinforce the central bank’s resolve in tackling stubbornly high inflation.

Moment of truth on inflation for Reserve Bank’s credibility

At stake here is whether the supposedly politically independent central bank can re-establish the low inflation foundations that supported three decades of unbroken economic growth until the interruption of the pandemic.

  • The AFR View
Treasurer Jim Chalmers will deliver the budget on May 14.

Big government spending to widen budget deficits

Next week’s federal budget will be expansionary, not contractionary as some economists have called for, and will do less to contain inflation and interest rate pressures than Jim Chalmers’ previous surplus budgets.

  • John Kehoe
RBA governor Michele Bullock will be alert to sticky inflation, but there isn’t a strong reason to raise rates again.

RBA rate rise shock is being underestimated, history shows

It has raised interest rates almost every time in the last 25 years that it has faced the current high quarterly inflation figure immediately before a board meeting.

  • John Kehoe
Assistant Trade Minister Tim Ayres.

‘Made in Australia’ won’t trigger subsidy arms race, minister says

Industry subsidies used to be taboo in the trade world. But Tim Ayres, spruiking the government’s new industrial policy in Europe, says things have changed.

  • Hans van Leeuwen
Jim Chalmers has flagged a pre-election budget pivot from curbing inflation to shoring up growth.

‘Made in Australia’ risks higher interest rates and a poorer future

The old rules of economics still apply and the consequences of Albanese’s big gamble could be widely felt.

  • John Kehoe
Anthony Albanese extended a Morrison government scheme to help women.

Make this the tipping point on domestic violence

A tighter judicial system, support for families forced to leave violent homes, long-term culture change, and more sophisticated use of data and prediction. Nothing can be left off the table in tackling terror at home.

  • The AFR View
Japan is looking to develop new air, missile, and other defence technologies with others.

How to make sure JAUKUS is a success

It’s a no-brainer to bring Japanese technology into AUKUS pillar 2. But it needs to take account of Tokyo’s inexperience and concerns about high-level military co-operation.

  • Shingo Yamagami and Paul Maley
RBA governor Michele Bullock’s fight against inflation remains a complicated one.

High inflation may last another two years unless rates rise again

If Jim Chalmers does not use the budget to cool the economy, the RBA will have little chance of achieving its target without raising interest rates, say economists.

  • Michael Read
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Rob Scott.

Boosting investment needs more than taxpayer cash: Wesfarmers boss

Rob Scott said he was making major investments in value-added processing for lithium, but faced serious barriers from approvals processes. 

  • Carrie LaFrenz and Ronald Mizen
US economy

OECD upgrades global growth outlook as US outperforms

A faster-than-expected fall in inflation has set the stage for central banks to begin rate cuts in the second half of the year, boosting consumers’ incomes, according to the OECD.

  • Leigh Thomas
CEOS

OECD warns sticky inflation means rates higher for longer

The warning came as CEOs deliver upbeat assessment of the economy and financial markets push out expectations for rate cuts to May or June 2025, potentially after the next federal election.

  • Ronald Mizen, James Eyers, Lucas Baird, Simon Evans, Tess Bennett and Carrie LaFrenz
Anthony Albanese and Peter Dutton .

Markets push interest rate cuts beyond the next election

Investors think the first rate cut may not be until May 2025 or June 2025, complicating Labor’s re-election bid amid red-hot voter concern over cost of living.

  • Michael Read
At Mark Scott’s own campus, Sydney University, primary school students on a “kids’ excursion” chanted “5,6,7,8 Israel is a terrorist state”.

No safe spaces for Jewish students at universities

Vice chancellors say what’s happening on campuses here is a million miles away from what’s happening in the US. That’s a statement of wishful thinking – not reality.

  • John Roskam